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RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion演讲范本

RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion演讲范本 本文关键词:演讲,RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion,范本

RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion演讲范本 本文简介:RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion演讲范本i.introductionforseveralyearsnowtheeuropeanunionisdiscussingapossibleenlargement,becauseseveraleuropeancountries

RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion演讲范本 本文内容:

Risks

and

challenges

of

the

EU

expansion演讲范本

i.

introduction

for

several

years

now

the

european

union

is

discussing

a

possible

enlargement,because

several

european

countries

have

applied

for

membership

in

the

eu.

these

are

especially

the

former

socialist

countries

in

eastern

europe,that

have

clearly

turned

towards

the

west

since

the

collapse

of

the

iron

curtain.

these

countries

are

bulgaria,the

baltic

countries

latvia,lithuania

and

estonia,poland,romania,the

slovak

republic,the

czech

republic,slovenia

and

hungary.

in

addition

turkey,cyprus

and

malta

are

trying

for

quite

some

time

already

to

join

the

eu.

these

application

are

not

to

be

accepted

without

any

further

deliberation

because

they

do

bring

along

some

risks

and

the

consequences

are

hard

to

distinguish

therefore

these

countries

are

not

very

expected

joining

the

european

union

in

the

near

future

and

will

therefore

not

be

included

in

the

following

evaluation.

ii.

risks

and

challenges

if

we

wants

to

evaluate

the

risks

and

challenges

of

an

upcoming

enlargement

of

the

eu,we

should

first

take

into

account

experiences

gained

during

previous

expansion

which

were

to

some

extent

comparable.

here

the

southern

expansion

from

1986

should

be

mentioned

where

two

economically

pathetic

countries

sought

admission

to

the

then

european

community.

the

admission

procedure

of

these

two

candidates,being

spain

and

portugal,were

lengthy

and

considered

very

problem

bearing.

especially

the

amount

of

produce

that

would

add

to

the

already

existing

agricultural

over-production

of

the

community

was

seen

to

be

a

problem

since

it

would

increase

the

load

on

the

european

budget.

but

seen

from

a

global

economical

perspective

the

joining

of

spain

and

portugal

was

overall

positive

for

the

ec

and

the

two

countries,although

spain

struggled

with

a

further

rise

of

unemployment

and

disparities

within

the

community

were

further

amplified.

the

disparities

within

the

union

will

most

certainly

increase

when

it

comes

to

an

eastern

expansion,but

the

agricultural

problem

will

not

be

an

issue,because

the

candidates

have

not

got

their

focus

on

agriculture,already

because

of

their

communist

heritage

which

focused

on

industry

rather

than

on

agriculture

or

the

tertiary

sector.

in

case

of

the

approaching

expansion

towards

eastern

europe

the

union

will

have

to

resolve

several

problems,the

most

severe

being

without

any

doubt

the

financial

one

that

will

go

along

with

the

extension,estimated

to

be

?5

-

?6

billion

annually,just

for

the

technologically

underdeveloped

agriculture

in

the

new

member

states.

the

financial

problem

will

also

lead

to

a

temporary

discontent

among

the

population

of

the

existing

members,since

the

financial

load

on

the

countries

will

cause

budget

cuts

because

the

new

members

will

undoubtedly

belong

to

the

payees

rather

than

the

payers.

especially

the

mediterranean

members,for

instance

italy,spain

etc.

fear

cuts

in

their

subsidies

particularly

the

agricultural

ones,and

agriculture

is

already

making

up

the

biggest

part

of

the

eu′s

budget.

of

course

it

is

also

to

be

questioned

whether

with

the

joining

of

economically

weak

countries

the

economies

of

the

“richer“members

are

not

weakened.

what

should

be

taken

into

consideration

as

well

is

the

impact

the

joining

will

have

on

the

population

of

the

candidates,especially

considering

the

rights

they

will

gain

when

they

are

citizens

of

the

european

community.

they

do

then

have

the

right

to

settle

and

work

anywhere

within

the

community,this

could

lead

to

a

large

amount

of

people

pouring

into

the

old

member

countries

trying

to

seek

work

there

and

make

their

living.

and

since

most

of

the

european

countries

are

already

struggling

with

high

unemployment

the

high

rates

could

be

pushed

up

further

and

the

discontent

among

the

population

could

worsen,especially

against

the

background

of

neo-nazis

in

germany

and

other

countries

such

as

britain

or

italy.

off

course

this

would

only

be

a

temporary

problem,which

would

solve

itself

over

time

as

the

new

members

develop

economically,but

still

this

could

prove

to

be

a

major

issue.

of

course

their

comes

also

a

minor

problem

along

with

the

expansion,this

problem

being

even

more

languages

than

the

twelve,already

being

used,in

which

eu

communications

would

have

to

be

carried

out

adding

to

the

already

huge

administrative

body

of

the

european

union

and

also

causing

further

costs

of

the

eu.

but

because

the

expansion

represents

a

political

necessity

one

should

also

take

into

account

the

positive

aspects

caused

by

such

a

historic

event.

with

the

expansion

the

continent

would

take

a

huge

step

towards

the

ethnic

integration

within

europe,different

cultures

would

be

facing

each

other

and

could

also

profit

from

each

other.

also

the

global

competitiveness

of

the

eu

against

the

usa

and

asia

would

improve

and

another

step

towards

global

peace

would

be

undertaken.

iii.

changes

in

administration

it

is

obvious

that

an

expansion

potentially

including

ten

countries

would

not

be

feasible

without

fundamental

institutional

reforms.

for

instance

with

the

existing

structure

of

the

union

which

allocates

most

of

the

power

to

the

european

council,where

each

member

state

has

one

vote,it

would

be

imaginable

that

smaller

members

would

have

a

majority

over

the

larger

members.

except

for

poland,which

is

by

population

comparable

to

spain

and

would

consequently

be

a

large

member,all

other

candidates

are

relatively

small

in

size

an

population.

another

point

is

that

with

more

than

twenty

members

the

decision

finding

and

making

process

needs

to

be

completely

reconsidered,so

it

represents

the

actual

size

of

the

member

countries

in

terms

of

population

rather

than

giving

each

member

a

veto

and

especially

one

single

vote.

the

existing

voting

and

weighting

system

is

also

already

making

the

decision

finding

process

a

painfully

and

lengthy

one,another

ten

different

opinions

added

to

this

would

make

it

virtually

impossible

to

come

to

an

agreement

that

at

least

partially

satisfies

all

members

and

is

therefore

being

supported

and

not

vetoed

against.

a

changed

“legislature“would

also

keep

the

democratic

thought

that

the

entire

eu

is

based

on

alive

and

not

vanish

it

like

the

existing

system.

what

should

also

be

pointed

out

is

the

fact

that

an

increase

in

members

could

lead

to

new

coalitions

within

the

union

and

also

increase

competition

among

the

individual

countries.

there

are

even

critics

that

fear

that

an

eastern

expansion

could

lead

to

a

shift

in

power

towards

the

reunified

germany,since

the

potential

new

members

are

already

heavily

bound

and

leaning

towards

germany.

what

should

also

be

considered

is

a

change

in

european

agricultural

policy,which

should

actually

be

reformed

already.

the

system

of

milk

quotas,subsidies

etc.

which

subsidises

an

over-production

in

many

areas,just

not

to

infuriate

the

farmers,because

smaller

farms

would

not

be

able

to

survive

without

the

subsidies

and

the

entire

face

of

the

european

primary

sector

would

change

is

completely

outdated.

this

system

could

definitely

no

longer

be

kept

up

with

even

more

farmers

to

support.

iv.

successful

without

absorbing

the

new

members?

it

is

obvious

that

this

question

needs

to

be

answered

with

a

clear

no.

the

existing

members

of

the

eu

are

already

being

absorbed

by

it

and

they

have

all

chosen

this

faith.

the

goals

of

the

european

union

do

state

the

loss

of

sovereignty

in

the

areas

of

economic

and

currency

politics,the

latter

one

already

realized,also

in

the

political

areas

of

social

politics,education,research,consumer

protection,health

and

also

environmental

issues.

now

one

could

argue

how

many

of

these

goals

need

to

be

realized

in

order

for

the

eu

to

be

successful,from

the

british

point

of

view

for

example

the

cooperation

in

economic

issues

and

the

creation

of

the

single

market

have

already

been

enough,considering

their

opinion

towards

the

maastricht

treaty.

if

one

would

see

it

from

the

british

point

of

view

the

eu

could

be

successful

without

absorbing

the

new

members,but

since

most

other

countries

would

like

to

see

the

above

mentioned

goals

implied

and

would

like

to

realize

the

dream

of

de

gaulle,adenauer

and

others

of

“the

united

states

of

europe“,the

new

members

would

surrender

a

huge

part

of

their

sovereignty

and

consequently

would

be

absorbed

by

the

eu,especially

considering

that

they

will

join

in

a

couple

of

years

at

the

earliest

when

european

integration

will

hopefully

have

advanced

beyond

the

point

it

is

today.

another

point

one

could

consider

is

what

would

happen

if

the

european

integration

would

further

advance

up

to

the

point

of

the

united

states

of

europe

without

any

new

countries

joining.

this

would

create

another

superpower

alongside

the

usa

and

the

then

non-members

would

live

in

the

shadow

of

the

eu

or

whatever

its

name

would

be

by

that

time

and

also

be

absorbed

by

the

enormous

power,in

any

terms,of

their

big

neighbour

just

like

the

caribbean,canada

and

mexico,even

the

entire

americas

are

by

the

usa.

so

the

conclusion

drawn

by

this

could

be

that

the

central

and

eastern

european

countries

would

be

better

off

in

any

case

if

they

joined

the

eu

even

if

they

had

to

surrender

much

of

their

sovereignty.

sources:

(1)

europa.eu.int/

(march

17th,XX)

(2)

idw.tu-clausthal.de/public/zeige_pm.html?pmid=26445

(april

5th,XX)

(3)

informationen

zur

politischen

bildung:

europische

union

(bpb,1995)

(4)

microsoft

encarta

98

(5)

mittel-

und

osteuropa

auf

dem

weg

in

die

europische

union

(werner

weidenfeld,verlag

bertelsmann

stiftung,1996)

(6)

e-politik.de/beitrag.cfm?beitrag_id=559

(april

1st,XX)

risks

and

challenges

of

the

eu

expansion

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